Advertisement

Campaign begins with polls on knife-edge

New polls out today show the battle for the July 2 federal election will be extremely tight.

May 09, 2016, updated May 09, 2016
Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull (right) and Opposition Leader Bill Shorten both lost support in the latest Newspoll. Photo: AAP/Lukas Coch

Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull (right) and Opposition Leader Bill Shorten both lost support in the latest Newspoll. Photo: AAP/Lukas Coch

The latest Newspoll shows Labor sits ahead of the government with 51 per cent to 49 per cent in two-party preferred terms.

The post-budget poll of 1739 people taken from Thursday to Saturday for The Australian sees the Coalition’s primary vote still at 41 per cent for the third consecutive survey, while Labor gained one point to 37 per cent.

It’s a similar story in the latest Fairfax-Ipsos poll, which has both level pegging 50-50 if voter preferences are taken into account.

With a lead of 51 per cent to 49 per cent the election result cannot be predicted, it reports on Monday.

But 53 per cent of voters still expect the Turnbull government to survive, the poll shows and the coalition increased its primary vote lead (44 per cent) to sit 10 points ahead of Labor.

Turnbull remains strongly favoured by voters in the head-to-head contest, leading Bill Shorten as preferred prime minister 51-29.

The Newspoll has him leading Mr Shorten 49 per cent to 27 per cent.

The results follow the pre-election budget, released last Tuesday.

Two out of five voters would be prepared to see a reduction in taxpayer-funded entitlements, such as family payments, as a means to repair the budget, the Newspoll shows.

InDaily in your inbox. The best local news every workday at lunch time.
By signing up, you agree to our User Agreement andPrivacy Policy & Cookie Statement. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

It found 39 per cent of voters said they would be worse off as a result of the budget while just 18 per cent believe they will be better off, with 43 per cent uncommitted.

Only 37 per cent of those surveyed in the Fairfax-Ipsos poll believe last week’s budget was fair.

The Fairfax-Ipsos poll has Labor’s primary vote at 33 per cent, seven points lower than its peak in January 2015.

“If our primary vote is 33, not only will we not win, we’ll have a very bad outcome,” senior Labor MP Anthony Albanese told ABC radio.

Finance Minister Mathias Cormann said he had expected the opinion polls to tighten.

“The election was always going to be close. It means that every vote matters and it means that people will have to weigh up very carefully the choice they make,” he told ABC radio.

AAP

Local News Matters
Advertisement
Copyright © 2024 InDaily.
All rights reserved.