Their benchmark study predicts 13 gold medals to be won by Australia at the 2016 Rio Olympics, up from the disappointing seven which were won in 2012.
Australia’s haul at the London Olympics was the nation’s worst since Barcelona in 1992.
A total of 37 medals are tipped to be won by Aussies, which is made up of an additional 14 silver and 10 bronze medals.
Such a result would place Australia equal seventh on the medal tally, two gold medals below Germany and France, who are both predicted to win 15.
It is expected that China will reign supreme after finishing second on the medal tally to the USA at the London Games.
The study predicts China will collect 97 medals, including 39 gold, while the USA (84 medals, 35 gold) and Russia (69 medals, 25 gold) are well ahead of all other nations.
“Overall we’ve had a better year, the gold medal tally is a tremendous improvement and the signs are good for Rio,” Kitty Chiller, Chef de Mission of the 2016 Australian Olympic Team, said.
“We will need to move into the 40s in Rio to achieve our goals. The three superpowers are way out in front but the next five nations are close.”
Medal predictions are based on results from the most recent international benchmark competitions.
Australia’s swimmers are expected to rebound from their lowly showing in London and claim seven gold medals in Rio, up from the solitary win by the women’s 4×100-metre freestyle relay team.
Swimmers Bronte Campbell and Emily Seebohm are expected to be Australia’s most prolific performers, with two individual wins, a relay win and a relay bronze each.
Cycling is expected to prove to be Australia’s next best, with eight medals predicted, including three gold.
Gold medals are also expected for Australia in rowing, sailing and men’s hockey.
Australia’s predicted improvements are based on success in a wider variety of sports, with the AOC looking to arrest the slide down the medal tally that has been ongoing since Sydney 2000.
“To do that we need a far greater spread of medals across the sports,” Chiller said.
“We won medals in 13 disciplines in London and we have won medals in 13 disciplines again in 2015.
“We need medals in 20 disciplines in Rio which I think is realistic. The team sports, hockey, basketball, water polo and rugby sevens are in good shape and definite medal chances in both men’s and women’s events.”
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